Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2.111920 2.445601 2.812501 3.245540 3.742371 4.294268 4.953562
2025-02-23 1.553684 1.966058 2.458652 3.089298 3.874138 4.817602 6.036798
2025-03-02 1.163121 1.592155 2.143521 2.901644 3.914477 5.218275 7.021283
2025-03-09 0.947699 1.391943 2.001379 2.894256 4.164318 5.900676 8.448702
2025-03-16 0.763623 1.196588 1.827161 2.806075 4.280078 6.407861 9.701588
2025-03-23 0.682628 1.133604 1.826483 2.959046 4.752689 7.469203 11.876586
2025-03-30 0.604409 1.059412 1.794031 3.053466 5.142923 8.449909 14.050899
2025-04-06 0.524050 0.966657 1.715461 3.058025 5.384419 9.220732 15.983141
2025-04-13 0.432108 0.837502 1.555071 2.898423 5.325523 9.488404 17.111925
2025-04-20 0.393289 0.797146 1.541741 2.990898 5.709093 10.537928 19.686971
2025-04-27 0.367518 0.776787 1.560664 3.142509 6.214668 11.852849 22.876554
2025-05-04 0.335051 0.737620 1.537698 3.209812 6.568221 12.927872 25.743441
2025-05-11 0.300703 0.690496 1.495302 3.239070 6.864241 13.952726 28.684526
2025-05-18 0.260057 0.623019 1.401664 3.150771 6.914341 14.512106 30.793670
2025-05-25 0.220283 0.550382 1.285848 2.997867 6.808472 14.745890 32.273371
2025-06-01 0.198853 0.516566 1.249649 3.013121 7.062390 15.742790 35.444841
2025-06-08 0.173897 0.469774 1.176866 2.934683 7.098401 16.283209 37.707256
2025-06-15 0.167125 0.467443 1.207820 3.102659 7.715649 18.150862 43.082264
2025-06-22 0.157083 0.454848 1.212004 3.206540 8.195915 19.766967 48.074300
2025-06-29 0.143069 0.429062 1.179387 3.214323 8.445779 20.885235 52.047829
2025-07-06 0.122702 0.381818 1.084318 3.048561 8.244574 20.925955 53.489301
2025-07-13 0.116027 0.372866 1.089391 3.146670 8.725268 22.650928 59.180938
2025-07-20 0.112221 0.371821 1.115908 3.306506 9.386938 24.890855 66.385030